Essential Steps to Safeguard Your Assets in a Market Crash

Essential Steps to Safeguard Your Assets in a Market Crash

Most investment firms will tell you to just “ride out the storm” when the market drops—but is that really the best approach?

In this video, Brad Pappas breaks down how bear markets can impact your long-term financial success and why proactive investors can take steps to mitigate risk before the downturn hits. If you’re nearing retirement or simply want to safeguard your investments, this is a must-watch.

Transcript:

Introduction to Rocky Mountain Humane Investing

Hello, I’m Brad Pappas, founder of Rocky Mountain Humane Investing, a fee-only investment advisor with clients throughout the United States.

The Reality of Bear Markets

I want to address an issue that is paramount to individual investors today: how to cope and plan around a sudden bear market, where major indices fall by at least 20% or more. As an independent firm with client assets at Charles Schwab, we take a proactive approach to protecting client assets from extreme declines.

The Devastating Impact of Market Declines

Extreme declines can be disastrous for your retirement plan and future standard of living. How you handle these periods represents the single biggest challenge to your long-term financial success.

Misleading Advice from Large Investment Firms

If you are an investor with one of the large mutual fund complexes, you may be told that market timing is impossible and that you should stay invested for the long term. These statements are misleading. While short-term market timing is nearly impossible, longer-term strategic adjustments are achievable. Large firms managing billions of dollars have limited ability to raise cash or be defensive, meaning they often fail to adjust for high-risk markets.

The Importance of Investor Responsibility

For better or worse, it is the investor’s responsibility to protect their own assets. Many retail investors fall into the trap of recency bias—assuming that because their investments have performed well in recent years, they will continue to do so. This mindset is based on hope rather than reality.

A Real-World Example: The Impact of a Bear Market

Imagine you are a 55-year-old investor about to experience a 30% stock market decline with $500,000 at risk. Most bear markets take over a year to unfold, meaning you not only lose money but also time. After a year, your principal could drop to $350,000. To recover, you would need a 41% return just to break even. This typically requires at least two consecutive years of nearly 20% gains. By the time this recovery happens, you could be 58 years old, having spent three years with no financial progress.

The Flaws of the Buy-and-Hold Strategy

Many investors relying on a buy-and-hold strategy face this predicament as they approach retirement. Instead, proactive investment planning can help mitigate these risks.

A Better Approach to Protecting Your Assets

We implement a strategic plan that is not reactive but proactive, ensuring protection during bear markets without engaging in short-term trading. This approach provides several key benefits:

  • Reduced Anxiety: You won’t need to constantly monitor financial news or check your portfolio balance.
  • Lower Risk Exposure: During bear markets, we shift assets primarily into treasuries to preserve capital.
  • Preparedness for the Next Bull Market: RMHI clients are positioned to capitalize on new market opportunities rather than recover from losses.

Important Considerations and Disclosures

As required by my compliance department, I must emphasize that there are no guarantees in investing. While we strive to protect client assets, no strategy can ensure absolute protection. Our approach is not designed to predict market tops or bottoms perfectly.

Schedule a Consultation

If you’re ready to discuss how we can help safeguard your investments, you can call me at 970-222-2592 or email me at brad@greeninvestment.com.

You’ve Inherited Money, Now What Should You Do?

You’ve Inherited Money, Now What Should You Do?

Receiving an inheritance can be a significant life event, often accompanied by a mix of emotions and financial considerations. As an investment advisor, I understand the importance of making informed decisions when managing newfound wealth.

In this short video, I walk you through some key steps to help you make thoughtful decisions about your inheritance, honor your loved one’s legacy, and align it with your financial goals.

Transcript:

Understanding the Complexities of Inheriting Money

Hi, I’m Brad Pappas, an investment advisor at Rocky Mountain Humane Investing.
I want to spend a few moments today talking about inheriting money because inheriting money can be more complex for new investors than you might think. While you might have good intentions, it’s easy to overlook things, especially when you’re grieving.

Take Time to Process Your Loss Before Making Financial Decisions

So if you’ve received an inheritance or anticipate receiving one, here are some things to consider.
My first suggestion is to take a period of time to process the loss before making decisions about the money. Initial ideas are usually influenced by emotions, so give yourself some time to think and plan.

Honoring Your Loved One’s Legacy Through Smart Financial Choices

Your loved one likely spent their lifetime building their wealth. They probably hope you’d make some wise decisions and overcome the initial temptation to splurge. In other words, take care of your own emotions to safeguard the wealth they’ve gifted to you.

Understanding the Type of Inheritance You’ve Received

Next, it’s critical to understand the type of inheritance you’ve received. How do you access the funds? Are there any taxes associated with it? And what are your options going forward? Here’s a realistic scenario.

Practical Ways to Use Your Inheritance Wisely

Your inheritance came in the form of cash.
You could use a portion of it to pay off bills. Afterwards, you could establish a retirement account or pay down your mortgage or put down a deposit for a home. If you have children, establish college savings accounts.

Balancing Enjoyment with Long-Term Financial Planning

Finally, after more pressing needs have been addressed, maybe it’s time to take that dream vacation you’ve been planning and then decide to solidify your future with an investment account.

The Value of Working with a Fiduciary Investment Advisor

At this point, it’s smart to reach out to help with an investment advisor who has fiduciary responsibility. If you’re ready to schedule a meeting, you can call me at 970-222-2592 or send an email to brad@greeninvestment.com. Thank you.

Maximizing Tax Efficiency in Cruelty-Free Investing: Strategies for 2025

Maximizing Tax Efficiency in Cruelty-Free Investing: Strategies for 2025

More investors are looking for ways to support cruelty-free companies. How can they follow their consciences while maximizing tax efficiency? This video offers some ideas on how to take positive steps that benefit all sides.

Transcript:

Why More Investors Are Avoiding Certain Companies

Today’s investors have different reasons for avoiding certain industries than previous generations. Ethical investing has evolved, incorporating concerns about animal welfare, the environment, and human rights.

The Origins of Animal Cruelty Screens in Investing

In the early 90s, while rescuing dogs, I created the first animal cruelty screen. This approach has since expanded to include additional social and environmental considerations.

Aligning Investments with Your Beliefs

Many investors want to avoid companies that conflict with their values. For taxable investors, it’s also crucial to incorporate tax-efficient strategies. In this video, I’ll explain how we blend social screening with tax efficiency.

What Does Cruelty-Free Investing Exclude?

We avoid investments in:

  • Factory farm companies
  •  Companies that conduct animal testing (biotech, pharmaceuticals)
  •  Food and leather retailers (supermarkets, shoe retailers)
  •  Oil and mining companies

Are You Missing Out on Profitable Investments?

The industries we screen out often have:

  •  Low profit margins
  • Slow or no free cash flow growth

By avoiding these industries, you’re not necessarily sacrificing strong financial returns.

Long-Term Investing for Tax Efficiency

The best way to minimize taxes on profitable investments in taxable accounts? Never sell. However, most stocks are too volatile for a true buy-and-hold strategy.

The Key to Sustainable Investing: High-Quality Stocks

We focus on companies with:

  • Protective moats and barriers to entry
  • Decades-long lifespans
  • Consistent capital and free cash flow growth

Balancing Risk and Return for Long-Term Growth

Studies by Morningstar and others show that investing in high-quality stocks is one of the best ways to manage risk while maximizing returns. We prioritize companies that demonstrate steady, year-over-year growth.

Examples of Strong, Ethical Investments

FICO and Cintas are great examples of consistent, high-quality investments that align with our strategy.

Using Charitable Giving for Tax Efficiency

Donating shares of low-cost-basis stocks to a qualified charity helps investors:

  • Avoid capital gains tax
  • Potentially receive a tax deduction if they itemize deductions

Work with a Qualified Advisor for a Tailored Strategy

Considering socially responsible investing? A qualified investment advisor can:

  • Define investments that align with your values
  • Maximize tax efficiency
  • Make strategic year-end or mid-year portfolio adjustments

Final Thoughts

If you’re looking to invest ethically without sacrificing returns, an expert advisor can help you make informed, tax-efficient decisions. Thank you.

The Social Security Shortfall: What You Need to Know

The Social Security Shortfall: What You Need to Know

As you plan for your retirement, it’s crucial to have a clear understanding of the factors that may impact your financial future. In recent years, the Social Security program has faced significant challenges due to a variety of factors, including demographic shifts and economic trends.

 

In this brief video, we delve into the details of the Social Security shortfall and explore its potential implications for your retirement. We discuss the key factors contributing to the shortfall, its potential impacts, and strategies to help you navigate these uncertainties.

 

We encourage you to watch the video and reach out to our team with any questions or concerns.

Transcript:

Introduction

Hello, I’m Brad Pappas, President of Rocky Mountain Humane Investing. Today I’d like to share my thoughts about the coming potential shortfall in Social Security benefits. Let’s start by talking about why the shortfall is happening in the first place.

Causes of the Social Security Shortfall

First of all, it’s due to declining demographics, whereby the number of people working and contributing to the fund is being overwhelmed by the growing number of retirees. This is not a new revelation, but the political party has been keeping the can down the road for years. Other factors include decreasing birth rates, increases in life expectancy, and payroll tax cuts due to recessions.

The Impact of Immigration Policy Changes

A new wild card has formed that would be the deportation of taxpaying immigrants. That being said, the policies of the incoming Trump administration, if approved, will accelerate the timeline of the Social Security deficits. Trump’s offer to stop tackling Social Security may sound wonderful to retirees, the results of which would be a disaster, because taxes on Social Security benefits are funneled back into Social Security and Medicare trust funds.

Congressional Budget Office Predictions

According to the CBO, or the Congressional Budget Office, before the election, the CBO estimated that the Social Security trust fund would be insolvent by 2034. If President-elect Trump’s agenda passed on the aggregate, the trust fund would run out of money even faster. The promises include eliminating the tax on Social Security that we already mentioned, tips, overtime, imposed tariffs, and expanding deportations.

Accelerated Insolvency and Projected Cuts

The insolvency of Social Security would advance by three years to 2031. The Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget, or the CRFB, believes Trump’s agenda would cause a 33% cut in benefits by 2035. Based on current law, once insolvency is reached, outgoing Social Security funds would be limited to the incoming revenue stream.

Proposed Solutions to the Shortfall

Money going in equals money going out. There are solutions proposed by the CFRB, reducing current benefits by one-third, or increasing the revenue by 50%, which would likely be in the form of an increase in taxes. Or do nothing.

The Impact of Increasing the National Debt

This would mean increasing the national debt to cover the Social Security shortfall, and in addition to increasing the national debt by putting more money into the economy to stimulate the economy and cover deficit spending.

The Uncertainty of Predictions

None of these predictions are written in stone. Too many unknown variables exist.

Conclusion and Strategy

We think it’s best to understand the situation and prepare an investment strategy to anticipate the potential cuts. Thank you for watching. I’m Brad Pappas at Rocky Mountain Humane Investing. I can be reached at Brad@GreenInvestment.com or 970-222-2592.

Client Update October 27, 2020

Markets always contain some degree of uncertainty.  As investors we must accept risk to attain growth.   But then there are extraordinary times when we’re faced with a significant binary outcome that can’t be ignored.

We’ve arrived at the crossroads of great uncertainty for the next two weeks.   We have no particular edge whatsoever.  This is why we’re sitting with such a high level of cash.  We can be sure that we’ll eventually have an opportunity to invest heavily with high conviction, so best to keep our powder dry in the meantime.

Since we have the ability to get invested very quickly there is no need to bet on an election that could at best be a coin-flip.  No need to step into the fray where the outcome is a myriad of possibilities.

Will the election be declared on November 3?  Or, will it drag out into January?
Even if the election is declared and Biden/Harris are the winners, how will investors react because of taxation issues?

The issue with a Democrat victory is the possibility of a large retroactive tax hike on capital gains effective January 1, 2021.  Investors won’t wait and see come 2021, they’ll likely sell this year.

In any case, market price, volume and direction will be a “tell” as to which course is taken.

At present the Nasdaq composite has worked off its overbought readings reached at mid-month.  The behavior of market leadings stocks remains very healthy.   Yesterdays weakness emboldens buyers the following day with the opportunity to buy the leaders.

At present we own two stocks which may be a part of the next generation of social media leadership:  Snapchat (SNAP) and Pinterest (PINS).

SNAP cost approx $31.6 versus $41.3 today.

PINS cost approx $42.62 versus $55.58 today.

Both stocks are going to be given a wide berth going forward as their price rise is similar to other social media when growth began to accelerate.

Socially responsible investing, vegan investing

In addition, both companies were under-owned by large institutional investors which stamped into SNAP price be damned.

socially responsible investing, vegan investing

To Sum It Up: The primary market uptrend remains intact.  But with a Biden/Harris win and Dem control of the House and Senate open the door for a large tax hike retroactive to January 1, 2021.  Investors may sell heavily in the 4th quarter of 2020 to avoid the tax hike.

Either way, I don’t invest upon opinions and my models will trigger to the downside should heavy selling takes place.  A large selloff wouldn’t be a bad thing in the long run anyway as it would set the stage for a better rally off a low pivot price in the future.

As Inspector Columbo once said:  “One more thing…

“2020” enough said.  Today is the first day I can head down into town in 11 days as life is returning to normal.  We consider ourselves incredibly lucky that our town and home didn’t burn.    We would look at the maps of the fires and find it astonishing that our little area was the hole in the donut of fire.

If you ask me, it’s all about climate change and especially drought.  Our wells don’t fill at the same rate they used to.   And, for the first time in 16 years that I’ve lived her our pond is dry.

Be Well. Be Kind.
Brad Pappas
October 27, 2020

Long all stocks mentioned.

Vegan Humane Investing

 

Client Update October 9, 2020

In the last letter sent 9/28 I mentioned the possibility of a Buy signal as it appeared the September selloff had run its course.

This is the chart sent on the 28th that showed the Nasdaq beginning to bottom out.

Socially responsible investing, vegan investing

A Buy signal did occur in the first week of October and we can see from the updated chart below a continuation of the 2020 rally.

cruelty-free investing, vegan investing, socially responsible in investing

Not only are the markets moving higher – they are moving higher with very strong breadth. This generally implies that this rally is an initiation of a new leg higher in prices with sustainable strength.

cruelty-free investing, vegan investing, socially responsible in investing

One should never allow politics into the investing matrix as it reduces your objectivity.

As in most instances when there is significant negative headlines – the negativity is already baked into the market. Hence more negativity has little effect.

It seems to me that about the time Trump polling began to disintegrate investors began to front-run a Democrat win for the Presidency and Senate. So companies that would benefit from a Democrat monopoly are moving higher and with ludicrous speed.

Looking at our holdings they are the “Greenest” ever.

For example:

Electric Vehicles: Tesla (TSLA) and Workhorse (WKHS)

Alternative foods: Beyond Meat (BYND)

CBD’s: Innovative Industries (IIPR) and Growgeneration (GRWG)

Solar: Soleredge Technology (SEDG) and the Solar ETF (TAN). I’d like to add Sunrun (RUN) if it will just give us a decent entry.

Market leadership is obvious at this point and its a new generation of market innovators and disruptors.

What is absent is the old leadership of Amazon, Apple, Facebook and Google. It would be my expectation that Democratic control would bring about potential Congressional legislation and oversight. While that would be years away should it occur investor capital prefers to focus on a new generation of winning companies.

Be Well. Be Kind.
Brad Pappas
September 28, 2020

Long all stocks mentioned except RUN.

Vegan Humane Investing